Status Report From: Space Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
Posted: Sunday, August 23, 2020
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 235 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Aug 2020 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (23 Aug, 24 Aug, 25 Aug). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 364 km/s at 22/0131Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 22/0926Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 22/1653Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 151 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (23 Aug, 24 Aug) and quiet levels on day three (25 Aug). III. Event probabilities 23 Aug-25 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 22 Aug 070 Predicted 23 Aug-25 Aug 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 22 Aug 070 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 21 Aug 005/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Aug 005/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Aug-25 Aug 007/006-006/006-007/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Aug-25 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/20 Minor Storm 01/01/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/20 Minor Storm 25/25/30 Major-severe storm 20/20/25
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Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast 22 August 2020 - Space Ref
"activity" - Google News
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