Status Report From: Space Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
Posted: Sunday, May 24, 2020
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 145 Issued at 2200Z on 24 May 2020 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (25 May, 26 May, 27 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 348 km/s at 24/1507Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 24/1330Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 24/1331Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 141 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (25 May, 26 May, 27May). III. Event probabilities 25 May-27 May Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 24 May 069 Predicted 25 May-27 May 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 24 May 070 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 23 May 004/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 24 May 005/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 25 May-27 May 006/005-005/005-006/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 May-27 May A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor Storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 15/15/15 Major-severe storm 05/05/05
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Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast 24 May 2020 - Space Ref
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