Status Report From: Space Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
Posted: Sunday, May 3, 2020
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 124 Issued at 2200Z on 03 May 2020 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (04 May, 05 May, 06 May). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 344 km/s at 02/2245Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 03/2000Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 03/1825Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 138 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (04 May, 05 May, 06 May). III. Event probabilities 04 May-06 May Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 03 May 069 Predicted 04 May-06 May 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 03 May 070 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 02 May 003/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 May 004/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May 008/008-008/010-007/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 May-06 May A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/20/15 Minor Storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/20/15 Minor Storm 25/25/25 Major-severe storm 20/25/20
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Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast 3 May 2020 - Space Ref
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